105 replies to this topic

[ItsAPotato]

I assume your initial numbers were from your own set, and not including my set from the previous thread. Otherwise, please ignore...

9
9
16
18

13
15
19
9

[Esplodin]

Forest Colony 20
Frozen City 21
Caustic Valley 22
River City 27
Forest Colony Snow 21
Frozen City Night 17
River City Night 25
Alpine Peaks 19

Edited by Esplodin, 13 March 2013 - 07:19 AM.

[Agent of Change]

Ok the third iteration is up through Esplodins numbers.

ItsAPotato, I started fresh from today using my own numbers.

And one thing to note is that i added a % deviation from the expected percentage. (percentage of the difference from expected and total games)

Oddly enough after nearly 3400 games the lowest deviation on an individual map is River City night at exactly 12.5% and at only.12% deviation river city as a set is the closest to expected distribution.

[TexAce]

the myth has been busted

thank you

[Agent of Change]

I still want more data.

[MoonUnitBeta]

8, 4, 17, 13, 12, 9, 12, 10

[SpeshlED]

13,11,4,7,9,6,16,14

Caustic valley only 4 times :S

Edited by SpeshlED, 13 March 2013 - 07:44 AM.

[Agent of Change]

SpeshlED, on 13 March 2013 - 07:32 AM, said:

13,11,4,7,9,6,16,

Caustic valley only 4 times :S

SpeshIED your data set is incomplete, I only see 7 numbers did you forget alpine?

Edited by Agent of Change, 13 March 2013 - 07:39 AM.

[SpeshlED]

Updated, sorry about that. That's why they call me special

[Skyscream Sapphire]

TexAss, on 13 March 2013 - 07:28 AM, said:

the myth has been busted

thank you

Busted? What are you talking about? It is in fact a statistical confirmation of what I knew all along:

Potato whines a lot for no reason



On a semi-related note, though there is almost no way to reliably track this, when I was looking we seemed to get almost exactly 50/50 on assault vs. conquest when leaving the mode on All.

[Agent of Change]

Skyscream Sapphire, on 13 March 2013 - 07:51 AM, said:

Busted? What are you talking about? It is in fact a statistical confirmation of what I knew all along:

Potato whines a lot for no reason



On a semi-related note, though there is almost no way to reliably track this, when I was looking we seemed to get almost exactly 50/50 on assault vs. conquest when leaving the mode on All.

It's definitely confirming what i suspected all along. And the tolerances are surprisingly tight generally +/- .5%

[Warrax the Chaos Warrior]

13
10
8
13
17
12
9
12

Like many other posters, it's the "five times in a row" for one map (including variations) that gets frustrating and leads me to feel like the randomization is off. Yesterday was heavy on RC for me, while the day before was heavy FC, yet the numbers don't show as much fishiness as it feels like.

[Sayyid]

6
3
3
4
9
9
10
8

I dont play that much but thats what I have so far.

[Leon Shirow]

18
18
12
23
9
17
11
15

[Padic]

8, 12, 13, 11, 8, 12, 9, 10

Edited by Padic, 13 March 2013 - 08:09 AM.

[Xenon Codex]

22, 14, 15, 19, 16, 19, 16, 21

[Shismar]

Looks pretty much equally distributed. With 7, now 8 maps the chances are pretty high (statistically speaking) to get the same map a couple times in a row. You just need enough matches to have one or the other streak.

Assault/Conquest would only be 50/50 if all players had it set to random or equal numbers have selected one or the other mode (compliated by ELO). Since we can't know unless PGI tells us, there is no way to assess if it works right. With only two choices, streaks can be really long quite often.

[Grrzoot]

22,23,13,21,15,26,22,22

oddly enough the maps that i have the highest w/l ration on come up least.

[Agent of Change]

Updated data 4 posted in the OP.

including data through grrzoot, for ~4200 games.

keep it coming it's starting to really level out.

Edited by Agent of Change, 13 March 2013 - 08:29 AM.

[Apnu]

I don't have the greatest sample size but I see Caustic way more than any other map for some reason. I've seen Alpline Peaks more than River City Night. The maps I like the most I see the least, not that the game knows this.


Map Name Matches Time
Forest Colony 5 0:25:32
Frozen City 7 0:33:28
Caustic Valley 17 1:23:22
River City 6 0:31:47
Forest Colony Snow 5 0:25:08
Frozen City Night 5 0:23:17
River City Night 8 0:44:44
Alpine Peaks 9 0:49:41
Totals 62 5:16:59