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The Number Is In, And It's 90%


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#441 Be Rough With Me Plz

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 10:50 AM

View PostUltimatum X, on 08 August 2014 - 10:29 AM, said:



We've already told you, and others repeatedly why the tests were flawed.

Flawed testing is bad, it leads to bad conclusions and bad decisions.

If something is over performing you need to know exactly what is the root cause, you need clean data for this not polluted data.


What we have is completely polluted data, drawing conclusions from it are pointless.



Here's what there is to show why the testing is flawed (this doesn't mean "clans are fine" it means "testing was flawed".

1) Public Queue, 0 controls

2) No accounting for ECM in MM. More ECM on teams often leads to wins. Clans only have 2 choices of lights, one of them sucks really hard, the other one has ECM. Most clan teams probably had multiple ECM units.

3) No accounting for tonnage differences. Clan mechs are all at, or near their weight bracket tonnage limit. This is not the case IS side. Higher tonnage often skews towards winning matches.

4) Along with number 3, Clans only have 2 assaults. One is really popular, weighs 100 tons and brings 50 tons of raw firepower, the other is not as popular. This is both potentially a weight, and raw firepower advantage.

5) Clan mechs have fixed engines, most travel at the same speed (except for Super Fatty). If you ever watch competitive teams, you'll see this is actually something they build into their drop decks. It's a very subtle advantage, as the whole team moves together.

6) IS side is the only side with trial mechs.


What all of this says, and I'm going to spell this out for you, is not "clans are fine - nothing to see here".

It spells out:


The testing was flawed.


1. Assumption. You don't know what any of the testing parameters were. You don't know a single thing regarding their testing procedures. All you know is it was about Clan v. IS. Any comment about flawed testing is absurd.

2. Assumption. You don't know what Mechs were in each match recorded.

3. Valid. They did 2 testing periods and are planning on doing more. However, the results of the 2 tests was shocking enough for them to post a hard number and decide that balancing changes are required.

4. Irrelevant. How can you consider having 1 Assault, the DWF, as a detrimental variable? Lack of choice is a detriment? I can understand that, but would you really pick a WHK over a DWF? Doubtful.

5. Obfuscation. Your "sh*tty" XL engine offers you survivability and maneuverability that the IS can't match. I haven't seen a single build where, if possible, it would be desirable to swap an XL for a STD. I've asked people to provide examples of when a STD engine would be desirable over an XL.

6. Cherry-pick assumption. If you're trying to balance a game you have to view it from the perspective of the majority. If the Group Queue players are really only 16% of the gaming population then having your "controlled" environments is a case of sampling bias. In order to get valid numbers you have to include everyone in the testing process. That includes Trial Mechs and Cadet Bonus players. If you think balancing a game around 16%(?) of the population in an environment that is the polar opposite of how the majority of matches are fought then your definition of "balanced" is different than mine. We've all seen what happens when PGI attempts to "balance" aspects of the 16%.
Again, this point of "balance" and "skewed results" is based off the assumption that you know what PGI is doing. Unless you work for them or unless they outline their testing process, an assumption is just an assumption and not fact.

I understand why you're arguing this. If Clan Mechs currently win 90% of the matches then it will be a field day for you all when CW happens. I wouldn't want to give up 90% win-rate. What isn't being mentioned is that the IS side will always have Trial Mechs and "bads" in Solo Queue so completely disregarding them in your "controlled" environment is pretty shameful and not relevant to the game that is actually being played.

Edited by Be Rough With Me Plz, 08 August 2014 - 10:55 AM.


#442 Nicholas Carlyle

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 10:58 AM

View PostBe Rough With Me Plz, on 08 August 2014 - 10:50 AM, said:


1. Assumption. You don't know what any of the testing parameters were. You don't know a single thing regarding their testing procedures. All you know is it was about Clan v. IS. Any comment about flawed testing is absurd.

2. Assumption. You don't know what Mechs were in each match recorded.

3. Valid. They did 2 testing periods and are planning on doing more. However, the results of the 2 tests was shocking enough for them to post a hard number and decide that balancing changes are required.

4. Irrelevant. How can you consider having 1 Assault, the DWF, as a detrimental variable? Lack of choice is a detriment? I can understand that, but would you really pick a WHK over a DWF? Doubtful.

5. Obfuscation. Your "sh*tty" XL engine offers you survivability and maneuverability that the IS can't match. I haven't seen a single build where, if possible, it would be desirable to swap an XL for a STD. I've asked people to provide examples of when a STD engine would be desirable over an XL.

6. Cherry-pick assumption. If you're trying to balance a game you have to view it from the perspective of the majority. If the Group Queue players are really only 16% of the gaming population then having your "controlled" environments is a case of sampling bias. In order to get valid numbers you have to include everyone in the testing process. That includes Trial Mechs and Cadet Bonus players. If you think balancing a game around 16%(?) of the population in an environment that is the polar opposite of how the majority of matches are fought then your definition of "balanced" is different than mine. We've all seen what happens when PGI attempts to "balance" aspects of the 16%.
Again, this point of "balance" and "skewed results" is based off the assumption that you know what PGI is doing. Unless you work for them or unless they outline their testing process, an assumption is just an assumption and not fact.

I understand why you're arguing this. If Clan Mechs currently win 90% of the matches then it will be a field day for you all when CW happens. I wouldn't want to give up 90% win-rate. What isn't being mentioned is that the IS side will always have Trial Mechs and "bads" in Solo Queue so completely disregarding them in your "controlled" environment is pretty shameful and not relevant to the game that is actually being played.


I like how Jman instantly likes this post, without reading it and realizing you misread points that were being made.

Like I said...all about personal agendas.

#443 Suko

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:12 AM

View PostDV McKenna, on 08 August 2014 - 10:41 AM, said:

Again re read what I wrote at no point does it say you said or do I accuse you of having said they are OP by 90/10

Honestly reading comprehension

You quoted my Star Trek meme post and wrote this:

View PostDV McKenna, on 08 August 2014 - 09:14 AM, said:

And people like yourself and funkydelic who can't read.

The clans are OP in some aspects see XL engines; but not by an order of 90/10

So, what can't I read McKenna? Let's go back to this first post. Ignore everything after it. What didn't I read that so offended you? I put a Star Trek meme up and you have a kiniption over it and accuse me of being illiterate. I see a man (boy...child?) who is telling me to go read something, but provides ZERO context and then writes that Clans aren't 90/10 OP at the end of his post.

My reading comprehension skills are just fine. Your ability to use the Enlglish language and the written word to get your ideas across is woefully inadequate. Perhaps it's not I that needs to "learn how to read", but it's you that needs to "learn how to write".

XOXOXO

Edit:
Still looking for others to clue me into what McKenna is all grumpy about. What didn't I "read" that he says I am incapable of reading? Seriously, anyone? McKenna obviously can't communicate his thoughts via words well enough to help me out here.

Edited by ShadowVFX, 08 August 2014 - 11:15 AM.


#444 Ultimax

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:12 AM

View PostNicholas Carlyle, on 08 August 2014 - 10:58 AM, said:


I like how Jman instantly likes this post, without reading it and realizing you misread points that were being made.

Like I said...all about personal agendas.


Yeah, I'm not going to bother.

He either didn't read it all, or is incapable of understanding it.

#445 Be Rough With Me Plz

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:12 AM

View PostNicholas Carlyle, on 08 August 2014 - 10:58 AM, said:


I like how Jman instantly likes this post, without reading it and realizing you misread points that were being made.

Like I said...all about personal agendas.

So point out where I've displayed any misunderstanding and I'll address it.

I see there might be a problem with #1 since it was addressing the initial part of your post.

How about this

You base your entire argument on an assumption. You don't know what any of the testing parameters were. You don't know a single thing regarding their testing procedures. All you know is it was about Clan v. IS. Any comment about flawed testing is absurd.

1. Public Queue ensures the application of the Law of large numbers. The only thing you're attempting to test is who wins more in a Clan v. IS battle. Clan wins 90% more.

2. Assumption. You don't know what Mechs were in each match recorded.

3. Valid. They did 2 testing periods and are planning on doing more. However, the results of the 2 tests was shocking enough for them to post a hard number and decide that balancing changes are required.

4. Irrelevant. How can you consider having 1 Assault, the DWF, as a detrimental variable? Lack of choice is a detriment? I can understand that, but would you really pick a WHK over a DWF? Doubtful.

5. Obfuscation. Your "sh*tty" XL engine offers you survivability and maneuverability that the IS can't match. I haven't seen a single build where, if possible, it would be desirable to swap an XL for a STD. I've asked people to provide examples of when a STD engine would be desirable over an XL.

5.1. Assumption and blanket statement. Not every Clan team is going to move together. It may be the optimal way to move, but it's not going to happen 100% of the time. Which is why you have numerous tests to ensure you have matches where teams may or may not move together. I'm not challenging your opinion that the cohesive movement isn't an advantage, you just can't assume everyone will move together. Is that why you want to cherry-pick the testing environment? Because it fits your assumption?

6. Cherry-pick assumption. If you're trying to balance a game you have to view it from the perspective of the majority. If the Group Queue players are really only 16% of the gaming population then having your "controlled" environments is a case of sampling bias. In order to get valid numbers you have to include everyone in the testing process. That includes Trial Mechs and Cadet Bonus players. If you think balancing a game around 16%(?) of the population in an environment that is the polar opposite of how the majority of matches are fought then your definition of "balanced" is different than mine. We've all seen what happens when PGI attempts to "balance" aspects of the 16%.
Again, this point of "balance" and "skewed results" is based off the assumption that you know what PGI is doing. Unless you work for them or unless they outline their testing process, an assumption is just an assumption and not fact.

I understand why you're arguing this. If Clan Mechs currently win 90% of the matches then it will be a field day for you all when CW happens. I wouldn't want to give up 90% win-rate. What isn't being mentioned is that the IS side will always have Trial Mechs and "bads" in Solo Queue so completely disregarding them in your "controlled" environment is pretty shameful and not relevant to the game that is actually being played.
-----------------

You're the one claiming I'm wrong in what I wrote and I'm willing to address my auto-response concerning Clan XL Engine.

Since I'm clearly wrong it should be easy for you to explain why I'm wrong. It's up to you to support that position and demonstrate why I'm wrong. The one thing I'm noticing are the amount of assumptions you have.

Edited by Be Rough With Me Plz, 08 August 2014 - 11:32 AM.


#446 Oderint dum Metuant

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:19 AM

View PostShadowVFX, on 08 August 2014 - 11:12 AM, said:

You quoted my Star Trek meme post and wrote this:

So, what can't I read McKenna? Let's go back to this first post. Ignore everything after it. What didn't I read that so offended you? I put a Star Trek meme up and you have a kiniption over it and accuse me of being illiterate. I see a man (boy...child?) who is telling me to go read something, but provides ZERO context and then writes that Clans aren't 90/10 OP at the end of his post.

My reading comprehension skills are just fine. Your ability to use the Enlglish language and the written word to get your ideas across is woefully inadequate. Perhaps it's not I that needs to "learn how to read", but it's you that needs to "learn how to write".

XOXOXO

Edit:
Still looking for others to clue me into what McKenna is all grumpy about. What didn't I "read" that he says I am incapable of reading? Seriously, anyone? McKenna obviously can't communicate his thoughts via words well enough to help me out here.


Here ill help you; you and others cry that those of us who want more data are bias and trying to keep our clan toys; repeatedly you are told this isn't the case the clans are OP but and this is the crucial bit not OP to the point of 90% win rate.

You and others take PGIs cherry picked result as gospel without seeing the data behind it.

At no point did I say you said; it was in reference to PGI "result" and yours and others belief in that inaccurate test.

It probably wasn't the best worded post from my phone while working. But nowhere in it did it say you said...that part is reading comprehension failure on your part.

Edited by DV McKenna, 08 August 2014 - 11:21 AM.


#447 Nicholas Carlyle

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:37 AM

View PostBe Rough With Me Plz, on 08 August 2014 - 11:12 AM, said:

Stuff


You've made it abundantly clear you don't care what anyone has to say and have a personal agenda.

Same as Jman.

This is about him protecting his Hunchback, not about balance.

#448 Be Rough With Me Plz

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:39 AM

View PostNicholas Carlyle, on 08 August 2014 - 11:37 AM, said:


You've made it abundantly clear you don't care what anyone has to say and have a personal agenda.

Same as Jman.

This is about him protecting his Hunchback, not about balance.


I see, you accuse me of being wrong and offer no explanation or reasoning to support your belief. Can't say I'm surprised since that's how you're arguing this "flawed PGI test".

At least I'm willing to correct myself.

ggclose :D

Edited by Be Rough With Me Plz, 08 August 2014 - 11:41 AM.


#449 Nicholas Carlyle

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:42 AM

View PostBe Rough With Me Plz, on 08 August 2014 - 11:39 AM, said:


I see, you accuse me of being wrong and offer no explanation or reasoning to support your belief. Can't say I'm surprised since that's how you're arguing this "flawed PGI test".

At least I'm willing to correct myself.

ggclose :D


You are willing to correct yourself because you are wrong.

I'm not wrong in this instance. And I don't deal with people who can't read properly and have to be called out on it before correcting themselves.

I have a 3 year old at home, I don't want to deal with kids on the boards too.

#450 Be Rough With Me Plz

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:44 AM

View PostNicholas Carlyle, on 08 August 2014 - 11:42 AM, said:


You are willing to correct yourself because you are wrong.

I'm not wrong in this instance. And I don't deal with people who can't read properly and have to be called out on it before correcting themselves.

I have a 3 year old at home, I don't want to deal with kids on the boards too.


I corrected myself because the comment I made wasn't in relation to what was being said. It doesn't make what I said incorrect, just irrelevant to that particular point raise. I caught it, corrected it and am still waiting for an explanation why I'm wrong other than "because". Don't worry, this thread isn't really going anywhere.

Edited by Be Rough With Me Plz, 08 August 2014 - 11:48 AM.


#451 Jman5

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:55 AM

View PostNicholas Carlyle, on 08 August 2014 - 10:58 AM, said:


I like how Jman instantly likes this post, without reading it and realizing you misread points that were being made.

Like I said...all about personal agendas.

God, this is getting absurd. Now I'm being attacked for being a quick reader?

#452 Nicholas Carlyle

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 11:57 AM

View PostBe Rough With Me Plz, on 08 August 2014 - 11:44 AM, said:

I corrected myself because the comment I made wasn't in relation to what was being said. It doesn't make what I said incorrect, just irrelevant to that particular point raise. I caught it, corrected it and am still waiting for an explanation why I'm wrong other than "because". Don't worry, this thread isn't really going anywhere.


You don't even seem to realize what you were wrong about. Dear lord. lol. Whatever. Good luck kid.

View PostJman5, on 08 August 2014 - 11:55 AM, said:

God, this is getting absurd. Now I'm being attacked for being a quick reader?


No you are getting called out for liking a post before reading it PROPERLY.

I can read fast too, but understanding a post is different than reading a post. And you are SO caught up in making sure your Hunchback doesn't get owned that you are blinded by it.

#453 Mystere

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:09 PM

View PostCharons Little Helper, on 08 August 2014 - 10:17 AM, said:

Law of large numbers my friend! :D


A million flies can't be wrong, ...

#454 Mystere

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:12 PM

View PostYokaiko, on 08 August 2014 - 10:21 AM, said:

We KNOW what their testing is, a couple hours in the middle of the workday where they put clans vs IS.


If that is during the 1400-1800 GMT time period, I'm calling shenanigans! It's the worst time period I have ever played in.

Yuk! Yuk! Yuk!

#455 Funkadelic Mayhem

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:14 PM

This is all the people who are QQing. For the people who dont get 2 very important things.
A: 90% to 10% is NOT EVEN, close or fair when it comes an FPS GAME! No matter how your Alzheimers makes you remember things you make up so you can justify generalizing things. :D
B: ignore the fact Russ said this is just the 1st of many tests to come between now and this fall.



#456 Jman5

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:17 PM

View PostNicholas Carlyle, on 08 August 2014 - 11:57 AM, said:


You don't even seem to realize what you were wrong about. Dear lord. lol. Whatever. Good luck kid.



No you are getting called out for liking a post before reading it PROPERLY.

I can read fast too, but understanding a post is different than reading a post. And you are SO caught up in making sure your Hunchback doesn't get owned that you are blinded by it.

Yeah you caught me, it's all a giant conspiracy to buff hunchbacks.

Posted Image

#457 Mystere

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:21 PM

View PostFunkadelic Mayhem, on 08 August 2014 - 12:14 PM, said:

This is all the people who are QQing. For the people who dont get 2 very important things.
A: 90% to 10% is NOT EVEN, close or fair when it comes an FPS GAME! No matter how your Alzheimers makes you remember things you make up so you can justify generalizing things. :D
B: ignore the fact Russ said this is just the 1st of many tests to come between now and this fall.


I think many of the complaints are due to the fact that drastic-looking nerfs have already started even though tests are still going on. People were most likely expecting small steps during the testing period.

If so, the reaction is totally expected.

#458 DDDs

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:24 PM

View PostJman5, on 08 August 2014 - 12:17 PM, said:

Yeah you caught me, it's all a giant conspiracy to buff hunchbacks.

Posted Image

Hunchback master race. I miss those days. :D

#459 Gyrok

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:26 PM

View Postrageagainstthedyingofthelight, on 07 August 2014 - 08:41 PM, said:

The stats on the IS vs Clan queues came in with clan wining 90% of the time. 90%.

So I thought I'd start a thread where everyone who said Clan mechs weren't more powerful could apologize, you know, to keep it all in one place. You were wrong, there's no shame in that, but you were wrong.


You should be a tin foil hat wearing twit to blame the IS losses on mechs, and not on the number of completely incompetent noobs running around in champion mechs. Seriously...

Give the Clans trial mechs, and what do you want to bet that the IS would win more than the Clans, because all the new players would be trying to use the Clan Trial mechs and dragging down the clans.

All I can do is laugh at anyone trying to take valid numbers out of the data they collected...

#460 Ultimax

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 12:27 PM

View PostMystere, on 08 August 2014 - 12:21 PM, said:


I think many of the complaints are due to the fact that drastic-looking nerfs have already started even though tests are still going on. People were most likely expecting small steps during the testing period.

If so, the reaction is totally expected.



Small steps, while doing testing?

DO YOU EVEN SCIENCE BRO???


Posted Image


:D





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