Another Twitch or an AMA or something today. That'll fuel some interest, topped off with being a Friday and mid month, which means a lot of people's "Payday" comes around now.
I do think we'll hit 1.85 tonight or tomorrow. Hopefully before close of business though, because otherwise we won't see the new stretch goals until Monday when HBS is at work to update it!
As for 2.5? It's gonna be tight. It's not unreasonable to guess the last three days will get 500-600k, most kickstarters' last three days tend to be ABOUT half the first 3 days, give or take 10%. I think the frontloaded advertising of this one will probably mean we won't quite get 600k, and honestly, 200-300k is probably more realistic for the final blitz.
However, we do know there's still some more planned add ons they are trying to get approval for. Potentially new tiers too. Sadly, the full house banner set has been nixed

- along with new factions. Those will help.
Really, I think a lot comes down to where we are in the last 3 days. Remember, they did something very right in their timing, it spans 3 entire calendar Months (September, October, and November), with start and end dates right around some of the most common paydays around. More importanting, the final push may well start October 30th - which will be the payday for people who have a Friday Payday, as well as Last OR First day of month paydays. So the impulse over the weekend may be strong.
If we manage 2.1 million by those last 3? I think PVP is a given. It does look tight though, if we hold steady at a lowpoint of 15k a day as has been pretty common when we're not getting a spike from Add Ons or whatever, we'll be just about 2,050,000 after 15 days going into the final 3. But we do look likely to exceed that number slightly, as the 15k is conservative, we're actually closer to 17k.
Personally, I think 2.3 million is about the lowest we'll make. 2.8 million is my optimistic 'highest' number. and based on all of the above? Those are pretty likely. That being said. 2.5 million is going to be a tough one. I give it about a 50-50 shot, depends how much all the MP only people are willing to take a risk near the end. Because that's a real wildcard, for sure.
Though for any PVP only people! Remember! You can always back out of your pledge the final hours if it's not looking likely before the KS ends! No risk that way, and it might help make the KS look like it will make it to that point for everyone else.