Roadkill, on 09 February 2016 - 09:59 AM, said:
Conversely, sometimes you're on the other side of that equation and get "gifted" a "superteam."
Since that determination is essentially a random coin flip, it evens out in the long run.
Agreed, uneven games happen, but they shouldn't affect anyone's PSR over the long haul.
Roadkill, on 09 February 2016 - 09:59 AM, said:
But since PSR is biased toward rising, that coin flip ends up increasing your PSR over time. Not by a lot, but it is an overall increase on average.
It's tough to really get a handle on
how much the PSR system is skewed towards everyone rising. The problem is that people's skill level does actually rise as they play more, so a gradual rise
for most people should be expected and is not an indication of the system not working.
Looking at the tiers of forum people who keep them public, my hunch is that we do in fact have people who are in lower tiers despite having played for a long time, so not everyone is bubbling up. But it's tough to know how many of these people we have.
My own anecdotal experience is that it's a little skewed though. In my own Tier 2 games I'd estimate I'm very nearly average -- typically right in the middle if I rank my team's players by match score. This suggests that my current tier is about right. Yet the e-peen bar keeps growing relentlessly.