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Grab Bags: Odds Check (Event Over, Still Accepting Data!)

Started by Bombast, Oct 20 2016 08:31 PM

259 replies to this topic

#241 SinnerX

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 02:33 PM

Here's a dump of all my rewards, 20 bonus plus the the full 15 for every day of the event:

Spoiler


My overall total ended up being:

3,712,500 cbills
405 MC
5,900 GXP
4 mech bays
9 cockpit items (no grand prize)
6 days of premium time
31 consumables
4 tricks

Gotta admit I'm a little salty that I didn't get the grand prize. Yeah, random draw and all that, but it's disheartening to do everything that you can, and still come up short. C'est la vie.

#242 Calh Paw

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 03:04 PM

GXP: 200 GXP
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
MC: 15 MC
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
MC: 20 MC
GXP: 500 GXP
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
GXP: 200 GXP
MC: 25 MC
Cockpit Items: Halloween Pumpkin
MC: 40 MC
Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin

MC: 5 MC
Cockpit Items: Halloween Lights
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Grand: Zombie Mech Standing Item
MC: 35 MC
MC: 35 MC
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
Premium Time: 1 Day Active Premium Time
Cockpit Items: Halloween Skull Face
GXP: 500 GXP
GXP: 200 GXP
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
Trick: 1 Small Laser

Consumables: Priority Air Strike
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 300 GXP
Mech' Bay: 1 Mech' Bay
GXP: 300 GXP
Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
MC: 30 MC
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin
MC: 50 MC
GXP: 500 GXP
Cockpit Items: Halloween Pumpkin
MC: 10 MC
Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin
Trick: 1 Small Laser

GXP: 300 GXP
GXP: 300 GXP
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
Cockpit Items: Halloween Lights
Trick: 1 Single Heat Sink
C-Bills: 50,000 C-Bills
Cockpit Items: Halloween Scared Pumpkin
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
MC: 5 MC
GXP: 200 GXP
C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
GXP: 200 GXP
Cockpit Items: Halloween Pumpkin
GXP: 200 GXP

#243 Kanil

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 03:38 PM

MC: 5 MC
MC: 10 MC
MC: 30 MC
MC: 30 MC
MC: 40 MC
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 400 GXP
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
Trick: 1 Flamer
Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin
Cockpit Items: Halloween Scared Pumpkin
Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin
Here's the last of my grab bags.

#244 Rhialto

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 03:58 PM

Premium Time: 1 Day Active Premium Time
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
GXP: 500 GXP
GXP: 100 GXP
MC: 10 MC
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
GXP: 200 GXP
C-Bills: 50,000 C-Bills
MC: 15 MC
C-Bills: 75,000 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 50,000 C-Bills
C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
Consumables: Priority Air Strike

#245 Stormbringer13

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 03:59 PM

[color=#EEEEEE]Grand: Zombie Mech Standing Item[/color]

Sadly, only 1 mech bay, and no lava lamp. I still have 5 more bags to open next hour.

Edited by Stormbringer13, 01 November 2016 - 04:00 PM.

#246 lagartx3

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 04:48 PM

The event is over, and I consider myself lucky, here is my complete loot, as i have not posted any of it in this thread before:
  • 1 day premium time
  • 380 MC
  • 3 mech bays
  • 3 flamers
  • 3 machine guns
  • 1 small laser
  • 4900 gxp
  • 2 priority art strike
  • 2 priority air strike
  • 4 improved coolant pods
  • 5 advanced uav
  • 1 lava lamp
  • 1 halloween skull face
  • 3 halloween pumpkin
  • 1 halloween nuke pumpkin
  • 1 halloween ligths
  • 3’212.500 cbills

As I stated, i feel really lucky, here is a link to a google docs spreadsheet with all the records: game ID, timestamp, score and rewards:

https://docs.google....dit?usp=sharing

Edited by lagartx3, 01 November 2016 - 04:52 PM.

#247 Bombast

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 07:51 PM

View PostSinnerX, on 01 November 2016 - 02:33 PM, said:

Here's a dump of all my rewards, 20 bonus plus the the full 15 for every day of the event:

View PostCalh Paw, on 01 November 2016 - 03:04 PM, said:

SNIP

View PostKanil, on 01 November 2016 - 03:38 PM, said:

Here's the last of my grab bags.

View PostRhialto, on 01 November 2016 - 03:58 PM, said:

SNIP

View Postlagartx3, on 01 November 2016 - 04:48 PM, said:

The event is over, and I consider myself lucky, here is my complete loot, as i have not posted any of it in this thread before:


Updated and thanks! 3 new users and a ton of new data, just what I like.

Contributors: 46
Loot Bag: 4,300

Come on, guys, lets really get this done - Lets get 50 users and 4,500 loot bags! If you all know anyone willing to do some copy and pasting or screenshoting to help out, please direct them to this thread! Thanks!

https://docs.google....dit?usp=sharing

#248 OMCBOONE

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 08:05 PM

Here you go all days..

Spoiler


Spoiler


Spoiler


Spoiler


Spoiler


Spoiler


Spoiler


Spoiler

Edited by OMCBOONE, 01 November 2016 - 08:18 PM.

#249 627

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Posted 01 November 2016 - 11:11 PM

Day 8:
1 Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
2 GXP: 500 GXP
3 Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin
4 Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
5 C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
6 MC: 35 MC
7 Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
8 C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
9 MC: 40 MC
10 GXP: 200 GXP
11 GXP: 300 GXP
12 C-Bills: 75,000 C-Bills
13 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
14 Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
15 Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod




So, this is done.

By the way, I have the feeling some things are capped per user, like MC. I bet there's a max MC you can earn like the single grand prize.
So who got the most MC out it? I got 505 MC from all and only missed 7 loot bags on the second day. No machbays for me, though.

Edited by 627, 01 November 2016 - 11:11 PM.

#250 invernomuto

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 12:17 AM

And the last ones:

28th October (grand prize!!!):

Grand: Zombie Mech Standing Item
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
MC: 15 MC
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
Cockpit Items: Halloween Pumpkin
Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
C-Bills: 87,500 C-Bills
MC: 45 MC
Cockpit Items: Halloween Stitched Pumpkin
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Cockpit Items: Halloween Stitched Pumpkin


29th October (Mech bay!!!):

C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Mech' Bay: 1 Mech' Bay
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
GXP: 200 GXP
Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
Premium Time: 1 Day Active Premium Time
GXP: 300 GXP
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
MC: 30 MC

30th October (2nd mech bay!!!):

GXP: 200 GXP
Mech' Bay: 1 Mech' Bay
Consumables: Advanced UAV
Trick: 1 Single Heat Sink
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
GXP: 300 GXP
C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
C-Bills: 87,500 C-Bills
MC: 45 MC
C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
GXP: 200 GXP

31st October:

C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Trick: 1 Small Laser
Cockpit Items: Halloween Stitched Pumpkin
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
Cockpit Items: Halloween Scared Pumpkin
Cockpit Items: Halloween Smiling Pumpkin
Consumables: Advanced UAV
Consumables: Advanced UAV
MC: 5 MC
C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
MC: 20 MC
GXP: 200 GXP
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills

1st November (lots of MCs...):

C-Bills: 87,500 C-Bills
MC: 20 MC
MC: 40 MC
MC: 15 MC
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
MC: 50 MC
GXP: 100 GXP
Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin
Consumables: Advanced UAV
GXP: 100 GXP
MC: 30 MC
C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
C-Bills: 50,000 C-Bills
C-Bills: 75,000 C-Bills


EDIT: fixed weird formatting.
BTW, I am very pleased by the event prizes.

Edited by invernomuto, 02 November 2016 - 12:38 AM.

#251 Cyrilis

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 01:32 AM

day 4

400 GXP
300 GXP
Halloween Pumpkin
1 day Premium
15 MC
112500 c-bills
small laser
improved coolant
500 GXP
improoved coolant
Adv UAV
Prio Air Strike
500 GXP
12500 C-bills
200 GXP

day 5

Prio Air Strike
Mech bay
200 GXP
Halloween Pumpkin
Improoved coolant
62500 C-bills
12500 C-bills
Halloween scared pumpkin
75000 C-bills
Prio Arti Strike
12500 C-bills
200 GXP
30 MC

day 8

1 day Premium
Adv. UAV
12500 C-bills
Halloween scared pumpkin
5 MC
35 MC
300 GXP
45 MC
Prio Air Strike
Flamer
300 GXP
300 GXP
Halloween stiched Pumpkin
75000 C-bills

end of line...

#252 Faithsfall

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 01:33 AM

And the last Day

Consumables: Advanced UAV
C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
MC: 45 MC
Cockpit Items: Halloween Skull Face
Mech' Bay: 1 Mech' Bay
C-Bills: 87,500 C-Bills
Cockpit Items: Halloween Stitched Pumpkin
Consumables: Priority Air Strike
Cockpit Items: Halloween Smiling Pumpkin
GXP: 200 GXP
GXP: 100 GXP

I only managed 11 on my last day but there was some very nice items in there.

So after a week of doing the goodie bags and the event I have ended up with a ton of c-bills/ a decent amount of MC/ a couple of mech bay's/ several cockpit items and the Zombie Mech all for playing a game I enjoy :)

P.S. I would like to thank Bombast for doing this for us as I know it is very time consuming and it has been interesting watching the % of the drops.

#253 Bombast

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 06:11 AM

View Post627, on 01 November 2016 - 11:11 PM, said:

By the way, I have the feeling some things are capped per user, like MC. I bet there's a max MC you can earn like the single grand prize.
So who got the most MC out it? I got 505 MC from all and only missed 7 loot bags on the second day. No machbays for me, though.


Before I start entering stats...

I haven't done a detailed analysis of each user, but this doesn't appear to be the case. People with 120 bags ('Max' without bonuses) all have within a certain (And wide) range of MC, and the people with the bonus bags (Some with 180+ overall bags) all have the appropriate amount of MC. In fact, most of the people with super bag counts seem to have more then what should be the 'average' amount of MC per bag.

If there is a 'ceiling' on the currency, it's set high enough that maybe a percent of a percent of the people who bought all the mech packs that applies to this event are going to hit it.

EDIT: Also, you got way, way more MC then average.

Now, off to the spreadsheets! Give me more data, guys! (And I'm updating what you guys have given me right now)

https://docs.google....Fzkc/edit#gid=0

Edited by Bombast, 02 November 2016 - 06:36 AM.

#254 Kuaron

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 06:19 AM

Do you really need all the detailes?
(I can make the screens but see no point.)

I'll sum up:
  • Opened all but 3 loot bags plus 20 from the preorder bonus.
  • Mostly, ofc, the usual crap lake C-Bills, MCs and GXP in tiny amounts.
  • 3x 1 day premium
  • 2x Mech bay
  • 1x Zombie cockpit swag

#255 OMCBOONE

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 06:48 AM

Bombast, I did not include my bonus (preorder bags). Would you like those as well? Just in case here they are.
  • 1 C-Bills: 50,000 CBills
  • 2 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
  • 3 MC: 30 MC
  • 4 C-Bills: 50,000 C-Bills
  • 5 MC: 5 MC
  • 6 MC: 30 MC
  • 7 Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod
  • 8 GXP: 200 GXP
  • 9 GXP: 200 GXP
  • 10 C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
  • 11 GXP: 300 GXP
  • 12 Consumables: Priority Air Strike
  • 13 Consumables: Advanced UAV
  • 14 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
  • 15 C-Bills: 75,000 C-Bills
  • 16 C-Bills: 75,000 C-Bills
  • 17 GXP: 500 GXP
  • 18 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
  • 19 C-Bills: 87,500 C-Bills
  • 20 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
  • 21 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
  • 22 GXP: 200 GXP
  • 23 GXP: 200 GXP
  • 24 MC: 15 MC
  • 25 C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
  • 26 GXP: 200 GXP
  • 27 Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
  • 28 Consumables: Advanced UAV
  • 29 Consumables: Advanced UAV
  • 30 Cockpit Items: Halloween Smiling Pumpkin
  • 31 Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
  • 32 C-Bills: 500,000 C-Bills
  • 33 MC: 10 MC
  • 34 Consumables: Advanced UAV
  • 35 Trick: 1 Machine Gun
  • 36 C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
  • 37 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
  • 38 C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
  • 39 C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
  • 40 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills

Edited by OMCBOONE, 02 November 2016 - 06:50 AM.

#256 Bombast

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 07:05 AM

Spoiler


Updated.


View PostKuaron, on 02 November 2016 - 06:19 AM, said:

Do you really need all the detailes?


Yes. It's kind of the whole point of data collection and statistic checks.

We broke 4,500! Thanks! And there's still time to submit! Can we do 5,000?

Edited by Bombast, 02 November 2016 - 07:05 AM.

#257 Kuaron

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 07:20 AM

If you say so. You have the important prices and the total number of prices, so you already got their data.
But if you really think a statistic for pumpkins is of interest to anyone…

Bonus:

Spoiler


Day 1:

Spoiler


Day 2:

Spoiler


Day 3:

Spoiler


Day 4:

Spoiler

Day 5:

Spoiler

Day 7:

Spoiler

Day 8:

Spoiler

Day 9:

Spoiler

Edited by Kuaron, 02 November 2016 - 07:21 AM.

#258 Bombast

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 07:50 AM

View PostKuaron, on 02 November 2016 - 07:20 AM, said:

If you say so. You have the important prices and the total number of prices, so you already got their data.
But if you really think a statistic for pumpkins is of interest to anyone…


The only way to track the complete statistics on all the 'Prices that matter' is to track all the prizes, including each individual prize chance. The whole endeavor is undermined when you cut out certain catagories (8.15% for cockpit items doesn't seem large, but it's a lot actually) and don't make a distinction between 500,000 C-Bills (1.15%) and 112,500 C-Bills (9.81%). How does one track how many C-Bills/MC each bag is worth if you don't track every bag?

Anyway, thanks for the data! We're up to 4725 loot bags now, and 48 users! So close to the perfect 5,000 by 50!

https://docs.google....dit?usp=sharing

#259 Angel of Annihilation

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Posted 02 November 2016 - 07:52 AM

My Last Two days:

309 GXP:200GXP
278 MC: 5 MC
218 MC: 10 MC
93 GXP: 10GXP
350 MC: 25 MC
204 Cockpit Items: Halloween Nuke Pumpkin

159 Premium Time: 1 Day Active Premium Time

185 Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike

235 MC: 10 MC

240 Cockpit Items: Halloween Smiling Pumpkin

538 GXP: 200 GXP
239 C-Bills: 62,500 C-Bills
289 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
245 GXP: 200 GXP
271 Consumables: Priority Artillery Strike
361 Cockpit Items: Halloween Stitched Pumpkin 226 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
249 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
438 GXP: 300 GXP
295 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
318 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
109 Trick: 1 Flamer
184 GXP: 200 GXP
166 C-Bills: 112,500 C-Bills
252 GXP: 200 GXP
178 C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
248 C-Bills: 100,000 C-Bills
258 C-Bills: 87,500 C-Bills
291 MC: 5 MC
246 Consumables: Improved Coolant Pod

Edited by Viktor Drake, 02 November 2016 - 07:59 AM.

#260 Cyrilis

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Posted 14 December 2016 - 07:18 AM

are you doing a new spreadsheet for the christmas lootbags?
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