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YOUR CLOSED BETA ODDS


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#81 Shapeshifter

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 01:04 PM

View PostVulpesveritas, on 27 May 2012 - 12:45 PM, said:

And let's not forget, that 1:7 odds was assuming another batch of 500.

also assuming we don't have many more people with multiple accounts/emails set up to try and farm beta invites.

#82 Banshee Bullet

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 01:16 PM

If by the 16th of june I have still not recieved a beta key, I will be purchasing a founders package. I probably will anyway though, it all depends on how paychecks fall :)

100th post!! yay me

#83 WardNine

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 01:43 PM

Too mess with those guys heads that think high post counts should have weight.... maybe the more you post the less likely you are to get into closed beta.

This could be because they know you are already hooked and they can let you wait as you are going no where :)

#84 Vulpesveritas

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 01:58 PM

View PostWardNine, on 27 May 2012 - 01:43 PM, said:

Too mess with those guys heads that think high post counts should have weight.... maybe the more you post the less likely you are to get into closed beta.

This could be because they know you are already hooked and they can let you wait as you are going no where :)

Posted Image

#85 Displacer

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 02:26 PM

I wonder if someone :) beat the odds and got two invites from having multiple accounts.

Anyway, I am starting to think that the only way to get green on my profile is to go house Liao.

#86 Ratfriend

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 02:31 PM

ive played many mechwarrior games before and this one is very promesing i hope i get in;)

#87 Jakebob

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 03:50 PM

Another thing to consider... those with very high post counts might be considered by the Devs to have trouble keeping their mouths shut in compliance with the NDA. :)

Regardless... those under 18 can't sign a legal contract (NDA), so I would think they would automatically be excluded.
I also suspect that people who are posting lists of games they've previously tested for might be excluded as they have potentially broken those NDA's (particularly ones that are still in Alpha or Beta testing)

#88 BeforeLife

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 07:15 PM

God darnit, freaking legal issues, I honastly still think its bull, I litterly cant wait for this game and theres no way I will be allowed to spend 30-60 bucks on the founders pack (it was hard enought getting 20$ spent on minecraft when it was in beta >_>). Ah well I live around 100km for vancover so I just need to find the offices and join the pitchfork and torch angry mob.

Edit after rereading some post: And I havent broke the NDA for the games i listed because you can tell who is and isent in the beta/alpha by going on there foarms. They have as there fourm group.

Edited by BeforeLife, 27 May 2012 - 07:43 PM.


#89 MuffinTop

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 07:17 PM

View PostGrizzlyViking, on 27 May 2012 - 10:44 AM, said:

The chance of getting a Closed BETA invite if they invite 1000 more in the next round are about 1:100. This number is rounded and is based on the current number of forum users less the 1500 that have already been invited.

Not scientific research by any stretch of the imagination, but should be fairly accurate given the numbers that we have to work with at the moment. So 1 out of 100...still not the best odds, but a lot better than 1 in 1000. B)


(Suggested odds of 1:100 recently changed to larger and bold type for the reading impaired) :lol:


So what you are saying is that I still have a chance?

#90 Hawk819

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 07:22 PM

What I'm waiting for is the "Founder's Package." Makes little difference to me if I get in or not>

#91 KittenPunch

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 07:29 PM

I wait like I have since last year when i got my pilot name B)

#92 Merlin DRAAGUN

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 07:35 PM

This is one of the dumbest threads i have read. Please mwomercs approve this guy to beta so he will shut <insert explicative here> up. He seriously needs to quit coming up with these "so your not in" threads, and troll it to death. I swear every 6 hours or so he does this.

Your feeble attempt at math is severely scewed. Of the 100 or 115k whichever, I would say 10 percent registered, and have never been back, or when they did, forgot their password regardless. Since the announcement that beta is out, I would guess (now I am guessing not trying to lay a known figure) that a mere 25% are actually signed up for beta and the questionnaire. I will guess (again, this is just what I predict, not some number like you lay out there) that they also have another 10k or so in fresh fully qualified beta requests on hype alone and friends saying... "It's go time!"

You need to quit trolling my friend, and here is my request you get in the next time they issue invites as you apparently will need meds if you do not get it soon. I want you to have a heads up on me because lord knows when DRAAGUN rises, the last thing you will see is a bugs last. Your Bass.

(That was a feeble attempt to shut him up... Obviously, this is impossible.)

#93 Merlin DRAAGUN

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 08:12 PM

View PostGrizzlyViking, on 27 May 2012 - 10:44 AM, said:

The chance of getting a Closed BETA invite if they invite 1000 more in the next round are about 1:100. This number is rounded and is based on the current number of forum users less the 1500 that have already been invited.

Not scientific research by any stretch of the imagination, but should be fairly accurate given the numbers that we have to work with at the moment. So 1 out of 100...still not the best odds, but a lot better than 1 in 1000. B)


(Suggested odds of 1:100 recently changed to larger and bold type for the reading impaired) :lol:


This is example 1 of my last post:
http://mwomercs.com/...__grizzlyviking
2:
http://mwomercs.com/...__grizzlyviking
3:
http://mwomercs.com/...__grizzlyviking

Seriously.. please mwomercs.com staff help him out, I fear for his safety. I have seen this before, and this reminds me of the movie Swimfan. When (or better yet) if I am chosen for beta, give it to him!

:D

#94 Agent Jack Ryan

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 08:53 PM

And may the odds forever be in your favor...................

#95 Major Bill Curtis

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Posted 27 May 2012 - 09:00 PM

Collectively we have great odds: they'll pick 100% of some of us.

#96 GrizzlyViking

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Posted 28 May 2012 - 03:08 AM

View PostMuffinTop, on 27 May 2012 - 07:17 PM, said:


So what you are saying is that I still have a chance?


Yes...we all still have a chance and that is good!

#97 GrizzlyViking

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Posted 28 May 2012 - 03:12 AM

View PostMerlin DRAAGUN, on 27 May 2012 - 07:35 PM, said:

This is one of the dumbest threads i have read. Please mwomercs approve this guy to beta so he will shut <insert explicative here> up. He seriously needs to quit coming up with these "so your not in" threads, and troll it to death. I swear every 6 hours or so he does this.

Your feeble attempt at math is severely scewed. Of the 100 or 115k whichever, I would say 10 percent registered, and have never been back, or when they did, forgot their password regardless. Since the announcement that beta is out, I would guess (now I am guessing not trying to lay a known figure) that a mere 25% are actually signed up for beta and the questionnaire. I will guess (again, this is just what I predict, not some number like you lay out there) that they also have another 10k or so in fresh fully qualified beta requests on hype alone and friends saying... "It's go time!"

You need to quit trolling my friend, and here is my request you get in the next time they issue invites as you apparently will need meds if you do not get it soon. I want you to have a heads up on me because lord knows when DRAAGUN rises, the last thing you will see is a bugs last. Your Bass.

(That was a feeble attempt to shut him up... Obviously, this is impossible.)


Are you trolling Merlin of just releasing stress? heheheh

#98 Jun Watarase

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Posted 28 May 2012 - 03:14 AM

It has already been confirmed that people from places like finland have gotten into the beta.

#99 Akrasjel Lanate

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Posted 28 May 2012 - 03:15 AM

View PostManthony Higgs, on 27 May 2012 - 10:48 AM, said:

1:100 is better than nothing!

That depends on the ammount of people the filed all the stuff for beta, so i think that the chance of getting may be bigger than that.

#100 Imotep

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Posted 28 May 2012 - 03:30 AM

View PostVulpesveritas, on 27 May 2012 - 11:55 AM, said:

my post count is a number - but it means I've posted something - which means there is something for someone to look at - which leads to the post's content themselves.



Like this one that means absolutely nothing..





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