3050 brought us the clan invasion and the following mechs-
- Clan 'Mechs
- Light 'Mechs
- Medium 'Mechs
- Heavy 'Mechs
- Assault 'Mechs
- Light 'Mechs
- Light 'Mechs
- Medium 'Mechs
- Heavy 'Mechs
- Assault 'Mechs
This elminates the Executioner and Fire Moth.
That leaves us with-
Light 'Mechs
Mist Lynx (Koshi)
Medium 'Mechs
Viper (Dragonfly)
Ice Ferret (Fenris)
Heavy 'Mechs
Mad Dog (Vulture)
Hellbringer (Loki)
Assault 'Mechs
Gargoyle (Man O' War)
NOTE: If the following speculation doesn't apply, the list above is what we're left with.
Russ said he first wanted to do a Shadow Cat (first seen in Battle of Luthien (3052), first mentioned in Technical Readout: 3058) for the medium mech but it WILL NOT be released because of MASC. Mentioning the Shadow Cat as a potential mech jumps us up in mech potential from both TRO:3055 and TRO:3058...
Adding in all of the mechs available from these 2 TROs would be ridiculous because it's highly unlikely they're all in the pool (regardless of year produced) because TRO: 3058 includes both the Hunchback IIC and the Kodiak, both of which Russ said will NOT be in this wave.
So, if we combine the remaining 3050 mechs with all Clan mechs produced by Jan 3052 (first time the Shadow Cat was seen) that are front line mechs (there were very few cases of the IS seeing 2nd line clan mechs by this point), while ALSO eliminating mechs that the IS wouldn't really see until the Battle of Tukayyid (May 3052), then we have the following list available-
Light 'Mechs
Hankyu
Mist Lynx (Koshi)
Fire Falcon (doubtful, production started in 3052, wouldn't be common enough to bring to MWO before other lights)
Pouncer (not likely, too similar to the Adder... still possible though)
Medium 'Mechs
Viper (Dragonfly)
Ice Ferret (Fenris)
Nobori-nin
Phantom (torn here, was pushed into production "immediately prior" to the Refusal War (3057), but production date is listed as 3052.
Heavy 'Mechs
Mad Dog (Vulture)
Hellbringer (Loki)
Cauldron-Born (extremely rare, though they were on Luthien. Many in the IS saw it before clans outside of CSJ/Clan Nova Cat (who were also in the Battle of Luthien) did, hence other clans calling it by its IS designation instead of Ebon Jaguar, the CSJ name.. which is why it's unlikely over more common heavies)
Night Gyr (very CJF specific)
Linebacker (not likely, 3052 prodcution date and too wolf specific.... too CWiE tolerated at that... like the Cauldron-Born it's not likely to be in before more common heavies)
Assault 'Mechs
Gargoyle (Man O' War)
Kingfisher (torn on including this as many clanners consider it 2nd line)
Naga (not common, wasn't very successful until Tukayid, and not a very clan-like mech at all)
If you take out all the mechs that have reasons against them, you're ALMOST left with my second list of potential mechs.
Gooooo speculation!
EDIT: Clarification
2nd EDIT: The bullets and spacings are fighting me.
Edited by Indomitus, 11 September 2014 - 12:29 PM.