Posted 10 July 2013 - 12:52 PM
The real problem though is that most people play to win but prefer to do so against less skilled people. Also, the vast majority of people in any game are not nearly as good a they think they are. In games like MWO the build and mech you drive is far, far more significant than your skill.
Let's take chess as an example since it's got a robust rating system and has been using it for decades.
Elo in chess (the Elo system was made for chess originally) starts you at 1400 and goes upwards of 2600. 1400-1999 means you're pretty decent. 2,000 to 2199 makes you an expert, 2200 to 2399 you're a master, 2400-2600 you're a Grandmaster, 2600+ you're Gary Kasparov, Bobby Fischer or Magnus Carlsen caliber.
There are 605 million people playing chess in the world, mostly in Russia, China and India. There are about 7.5 million people playing ranked chess in the FIDE, the largest chess organization.
Of those, 11,029 people have a ranking over 2200. That's 0.0014% of total players.
5839 had a ranking of 2200-2299
2998 ranked 2300 to 2399
1382 ranked 2400 to 2499
587 ranked 2500-2599
178 ranked 2600-2699
42 ranked 2700-2799
3 ranked 2800+
So to put that into perspective, if MWO has 10,000 active players then 14 of them are 'masters' in terms of absolute skill. All of them together can't fill one match. I'm not sure we've got 10,000 active players but I could be wrong.
Less than 1% are going to be 'experts' or better in terms of absolute skill.
So what that actually leaves us with is tons and tons of people relying on FOTM to make them look better than they are.
THAT is MWO and THAT is the problem with the current Elo system. Want Elo to work better? Include a BV aspect. The problem is that we can't, because there are not enough players. Instead what we have are people who want to feel like they're very good but in fact are relying on making smurf accounts to stomp new and inexperienced players or people who equate the advantage of dropping in a team on voice coms with actual personal game skill (hence the issue with dropping in a team, winning a lot, then dropping solo and getting hammered).
Most people really are not that good. They just want to feel like they are.