General Solo, on 27 June 2021 - 05:11 AM, said:
Did you know that Jarls can't tell the difference between a new player and an alt account.
https://steamcharts.com/app/342200
Steam only counts steam accounts, not alts unlike Jarls List, and according to steam numbers are down
https://leaderboard.isengrim.org/stats
Many if not most of those new players according to Jarls List can be alts farming skillgap.
No way of telling.
But with Steam an alt user would have to create a new steam account as well to count, as a new user.
So was going to leave it be (I've contributed my piece to this discussion) but a few things about the numbers presented in Steam that you are not taking into account:
1) Steam reports concurrent players in its client, and not total number of unique players in a day
2) PGI has said on a few occasions that you can take the concurrent number and double it to get roughly what the actual number is (A lot of people still install and play via the stand-alone client)
3) Steam does not give you a total count of unique players in a day or month (this is the important part)
The reason it is important to keep these things in mind is because the Steam numbers, while encouraging, can be a bit misleading. They don't show you what the player churn is, for example (churn in this context is where some people stop playing and others start playing). Steam also doesn't report on the very useful metric of new players vs returning players.
To further highlight the challenge of Steam numbers: PGI in its disclosure to EG7 during the acquisition put the number at "tens of thousands of daily players" at a time when MWO was at its lowest. Steam numbers do not corroborate this in any way, however Jarl's does. Jarl's is not perfect though as it doesn't capture the ultra casual player; someone who plays less than 10 games per month.
Re Steam numbers being down for the past 30 days: It is summer time in North America which normally see's a dip in players because most normal people are going outside, on vacations, etc. With COVID lockdowns easing in many countries, I'm willing to bet that folks are more inclined to go out and enjoy the things they haven't been able to do in over a year.
Regarding alt accounts ... I think it is fair to say that some of the new accounts are alts but to claim that most of them are alts is a bit of a reach. Have had numerous new players stop by my twitch streams, and there have been more than a few streamers pick up the game who never played it before.
Anyway, back to the original discussion!