OP you made a HELL of a good thread here. I love this kind of discussion because we get both sides. Playing the what if game though can work to either sides' advantage however we each highlight the points that make our argument the stronger. This is going to be long so please bear with me.
Ashla Mason, on 19 October 2012 - 08:18 AM, said:
You seem to have forgotten that the bears also transplanted their entire society to their IS holdings; I believe that the actual invasion force they had at there disposal was closer to 4 or 5 galaxies and the other clans had comparable forces at their disposal.
Also: the clans were able to engage in some truly brutal crackdowns when they had evidence of partisan antics, and that tends to end resistance very, very quickly.
True but the Bears moving to the IS comes a lot later in the timeline than when I suspect the OP is referring to.
Ashla Mason, on 19 October 2012 - 09:50 AM, said:
Which is why the jade falcons were forced to flee the inner sphere, never to return...
Maurdakar, on 19 October 2012 - 11:02 AM, said:
No the clans could not, by any account.
Most of the fan-boy clanners aren't invested enough in the Lore to get their details or facts straight.
The Clans had the element of surprise early on, and the I.S. didn't recognize the threat they posed right away. The Clans simply blitzkrieg-ed down world after world, many of which were poorly defended. That said nearly all the major clans participated in the invasion so they did not have a huge backbench to draw from. Fan-boys also like to mention how the clanners could have been really clever or politically apt, they could have been, but they were not, because their clanners, and what makes them so great at fighting is their meat-head culture.
As for invading over the course of centuries, there's just no way. Once the I.S. had their pants on and the technology gap closed the fights against clanners were nearly even. Again you could argue the clans could change their culture, but these arguments don't count, because your no longer talking about the Clans. Dreamed up neo-clans may have a shot but they are not "the Clans" as we discuss them.
All of this said once the Clans fought an intelligent general with an entrenched position and similar technology they got obliterated, embarrassingly destroyed on all fronts.
Don't let people who have bought into the romanticism of the Clans or I.S. fool you. The most likely outcome was the one we were left with; small clan controlled territories that don't really expand too much because any invasion would be against other clanners, or right into heavily entrenched, expertly trained, and well-equipped I.S. positions.
I reject what you say totally & I think I am invested in the lore enough to do so.
True the Clans had the element of surprise, but that would not last long. People did send reports on what was happening. On the contrary, there was a HUGE backbench to draw from. As mentioned before, Klondike had ALL the Clans attacking. Even if it was not all the Clans had it been all the Crusader Clans the outcome would be different which is most likely why it was NOT written like that. During the YoP the FWL got blackmailed into providing mechs & supplies to the SS that were facing the brunt of the invasion. Any student of military history will tell you that destroying/crippling/seizing an enemy's supply lines is the secondary or in some cases the primary, means of achieving victory. If the FWL had Clan forces on their doorsteps, that whole deal would never had occurred.
You tried to flay us with talk of "not invested in the lore" blah blah blah, when clearly you need to read the damn thing. The Clans were soaked in politics because to reach to the mid & high level in the Clan you had to be both a good warrior AND a good politician. Ulric noted sadly to someone ( I am in work now & do not have access to the source material so I cannot quote the title) that Clan politics were just as bad as in the IS or worse, something along those lines. When I get back home, I will give it to you verbatim.
You can keep your centuries & put them under a Precentor's robe because they I.S. had their "pants on" as you say & got it beaten off of them. Go read Era Report 3052. Before I get to my main point let me digress. How did the IS start working together? How did they get their technological upgrades to begin with? The technologically advanced Clans were bound by a set of rules that necessitated the entire set of frontline troops to go all the way back home after the death of their war leader. The WAR leader who died during WAR. Plot armor. I wrote a rebuttal for this somewhere on this forum & when I get a chance, I will paste it here for you. So anyway during this YoP it was not even the House leaders who tried to unify, it was a damn mercenary group, who by the way in case you forgot, came from the very enemy they were fighting.
Also this unity was not complete as the CC pissed on everybody who was getting their ***** handed to them (read what Romano Liao said & tell me if I am wrong, I DARE you) & the Fox had to blackmail Thomas Marik to get the FWL to help. Imagine that? Thomas asked him if he would sentence his child to death over this & the Fox said YES. They could not agree on a cup of tea. So please try that **** on somebody who has NOT read the lore. The Clans were beaten with inferior technology before. Remember Wolcott? Yes an intelligent general in an entrenched position can beat the Clans, true. The problem was, victories like that were FEW and far between. Even when they got a tech upgrade they still got their ***** kicked. Era Report 3052 confirms this. You cannot argue with the source material.
It did not happen because it was not WRITTEN to happen like that. The Clans return. The Clans invade. The Clans win! The Clans take Terra. THE END? What then?
PaintedWolf, on 19 October 2012 - 11:23 AM, said:
2 Things need to be kept in mind:
1- As soon as the Clans take Terra the entire rest of the IS will put all their differences aside and work against them.
2- We are talking over 2000 inhabited planets that we know off, and TRILLIONS of people.
The DCMS alone has 700 BILLION people. I do not think the scale or magnitude of such an undertaking can ever be underestimated. I mean, that many people using muskets could probably take out the Clans. They gotta sleep sometime, and this is assuming their own repressed Castes do not side with the rebels--and trust me realizing something like 2 TRILLION people on thousands of planets are all against you at once is gonna make some of them question their loyalties, especially if these people are more like them.
Also keep in mind when the Clans are starved or resources or backed into a corner they tend to get really nasty. This will also divide their own and unite the Inner Sphere.
I honestly wondered if it was possible, maybe I think over several generations with very, very careful planning. But we are talking such a vast numbers discrepency here.
As for the Pentagon worlds during Klondike, that was 5 worlds. 5 worlds of relatively small populations vs THOUSANDS of worlds with TRILLIONs of people. And keep in mind there are MILLIONs of Stars in the IS for rebels to hide.
As Marx notes, Changes in Quantity can lead to changes in Quality. The English showed this with the long-bow used en masse, and I'm pretty sure the Clans would find this out when they realize just how big of a place the IS is.
You really think when the GH were watching their territories shrink world by world, day by day (their OWN place) & they could not come to a proper agreement in the YoP that magically, when terra gets taken, all past differences would be put aside? Well I am sure whatever planet you are on, you believe that. Here on Earth, I think not.
The Clans are not pirates. They are not set up primarily for raids. Yes they did AFTER Tukayyid but from the OP it seems he is talking about the height of the invasion. The Clans land on a planet, smash the **** out of the defenders, SEIZE the world, that means that the infrastructure as well as the populace becomes their own, then the frontline troops move on to the next target. Sure you are going to have rebellions, but this is not Star Wars & your cute fuzzy Ewoks are not going to take out a force that just decimated the real warriors in their mechs, fighter jets, tanks, APCs, hoevertanks etc. Obviously the level of resentment is dependent on how said world is taken & handled. As shown in the source material, worlds conquered by Clan Wolf moved along, mostly smoothly while the jade Falcons fared worse & of course the overly-aggressive Jaguars took things to a whole new level & had the worst revolts.
Again the number of worlds is irrelevant had ALL the Clans (or at least all the crusader clans) attacked at once as done in Klondike. Understand that each world the IS loses to the Clans is a blow. Planet X might be a key manufacturing planet for whatever GH they served. For each world that falls, the Clans get stronger as the IS gets weaker.You need to read the Crusader Clans Field Manual, the return to the IS has been regarded as a holy event by all the castes of all the clans, so no I do not think that would happen. They would not join in any rebellions.
I will reply to the other posters when I get home. The AC is killing me here. My fingers are freezing.