Grynos, on 14 January 2015 - 04:29 PM, said:
The ghost drops are not that much of an issue. They happen for every faction/clan not just Davion and Liao. The problem is CW as it relates to the faction/clan who is in queue first and can maintain the queue has to total advantage every time. The coordination that has been talked over and over again is a means for the exploitation of a bad game mechanic in the game itself. The fact that Liao gains the upper hand during European prime time, is the same reason that Davion has it during The hours before Ceasefire. At that point whomever has the larger population will win regardless of the wins and losses. The wins and losses are stacked against units that have to defend. For instance hypothetically you can win all your matches, every single one, but if you are the defending team it means absolutely nothing. If you win all your matches while attack/counter attacking your wins mean everything. So as long as the population is significantly higher on one faction/clan to the other one, the defenders even if successful do not gain anything.
Smoke Jaguar also has one big difference going for it that Liao does not. Any clan can defend their borders. Liao as well as Davion and Marik do not have that option.
It seems to me that fighting against Marik has stalled , yet no one taking their planets. Kurita has their hands full with clans, yet their borders do not get pushed. So your coordination is basically currently only against Liao. Which in prime time for ceasefire you have a significant adavatage over. By all means keep pushing on Liao, but eventually most of us are going to get tired ( due to CW's issues ) and refuse to do CW....
What happens then??????????
It's only against Liao right now because we simply don't have the people to even show up for Kurita and Marik. Marik has been taking planets from Davion daily, often with few/no units resisting. The fighting there has stalled because quit bluntly we don't have enough units to fight them effectively. They fight hard and well and wins are close things. Even if populations are similar we're generally 50/50 with them. End of the day we have to pick who we're going to lose a world to; Marik or Liao. Currently we've decided to lose worlds to Marik because focusing on Liao we can fight to a standstill. Against Marik we were going 100% and losing on both fronts - attack and defense. We have enough troops to hold Liao at a a +1/-1 consistently. Kurita is busy on their Clan borders - if they don't show up neither do we. Liao attacks every day (we're really the only ones for you to fight so that makes sense) so it's probably 80% or 90% of Davions troops you're dealing with - and outnumbering most days.
That's a separate issue I've brought up many times; Liao has no real options.
The 20th will bring a lot of folks in. Keep in mind there are several Davion european units that will have a bigger impact after then as well. I suspect the 20th will move population impact more in favor of Davion than Liao.
Liao is in a crappy map position. If Marik ever decided to put an end to your treaty it would pretty much be over. You would have to beat Davion and not lose worlds to Davion every day for ~140 days to open a Kurita border - assuming Marik wasn't taking Davion worlds at the same time, effectively pushing your Marik border out at the same speed you were moving through Davion.
Conversely if populations shift even a bit and Marik shifts there attention to Steiner you're back to facing a Davion that is bigger than yourselves.
As I've said before and will say again, the inability to open new fronts for factions like Liao (and to a degree CSJ and Jade Falcon) creates significant long-term issues for the viability of those factions. Liao is pegged to Davions population and the support of Marik, both in leaving them along and drawing Davion heat from Liao 24x7.
It is not 'turret drops' that screw Liao and make their efforts seems pointless. It's map position. In the end there is absolutely nothing Liao can do to 'win' or gain significant advantages or opportunities. Their success is driven not by their own performance but Davion population and Marik generosity. THAT is the biggest problem here. That's where you get to 'what happens then'.